Sha Tin · 2019-10-20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-20 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with ENCOURAGING second and THE HULK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.20.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ENCOURAGING Led early B/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 4 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | THE HULK Closed strongly PC1/XB1 M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 56.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H1 M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 9 | 125.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 3.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN Closed strongly B-/XB/SR1 A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 11 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TAKING AIM XB2 K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 10 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | KING OF HEARTS Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GRACEANDMERCY XB A Domeyer · A T Millard | A Domeyer | A T Millard | 13 | 113.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MISSION TYCOON V/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLD CHEST CP2/H2/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 6 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | FLYING THUNDER XB G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 3 | 8.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | HO HO KHAN B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 47.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 22.3% | 4.48 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING THUNDER | 22.0% | 4.54 | 12 |
| 3 | 11 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 19.7% | 5.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | TAKING AIM | 6.4% | 15.53 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | HO HO KHAN | 6.0% | 16.77 | 13 |
| 6 | 4 | MISSION TYCOON | 5.3% | 18.94 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | KING OF HEARTS | 3.8% | 26.30 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLD CHEST | 3.0% | 33.89 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | ENCOURAGING | 2.6% | 39.11 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 2.5% | 39.44 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | GRACEANDMERCY | 2.5% | 40.44 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | THE HULK | 2.3% | 43.59 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 1.7% | 59.54 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 24
PLACE
3 61
10 124
11 13.5
QUINELLA
3,11 344
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 1,490
3,11 136.5
10,11 256
TIERCE
11,3,10 13,074
TRIO
3,10,11 5,079
FIRST 4
3,10,11,12 20,208
QUARTET
11,3,10,12 252,082
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 635
2/11 581.5