Sha Tin · 2019-10-20
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEASONS BLOOM TT 1.08.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 7 | 8.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | FULL OF BEAUTY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 2.3 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER B C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 2 | 15.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | RATTAN B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 8 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PAKISTAN STAR Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD STANDING B/XB K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 6 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GUNNISON M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 1 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | IVICTORY B-/TT1 B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 34.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-20 was Group 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SEASONS BLOOM, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with FULL OF BEAUTY second and WISHFUL THINKER third. The 2.3 favourite FULL OF BEAUTY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FULL OF BEAUTY | 42.9% | 2.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | PAKISTAN STAR | 16.2% | 6.18 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD STANDING | 8.6% | 11.59 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | RATTAN | 8.3% | 12.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEASONS BLOOM | 7.6% | 13.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 6.6% | 15.22 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GUNNISON | 6.2% | 16.03 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | IVICTORY | 3.6% | 27.45 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 83.5
PLACE
4 25.5
5 19.5
6 13.5
QUINELLA
5,6 108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 86
4,6 40
5,6 37.5
TIERCE
5,6,4 1,307
TRIO
4,5,6 155
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 128
QUARTET
5,6,4,2 5,160
2ND DOUBLE
1/5 398
1/6 16
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 18
A3 —
A1 —
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B3 17.5
B1 —