Sha Tin · 2019-10-27
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-27 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CURLING LUXURY, ridden by H N Wong and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with MISTER MONTE second and ABOVE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite ABOVE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CURLING LUXURY Wire to wire 1.49.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 42.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | MISTER MONTE CP G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ABOVE Closed strongly B-/PC2 J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 2 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | HAY RUN H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 7 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU B/H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 4 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 1 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | GOOD FIT Closed strongly PC/TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | CHEEKY BEE B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 5 | 44.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ABOVE | 41.5% | 2.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | ENFOLDING | 17.6% | 5.70 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 11.0% | 9.13 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | MISTER MONTE | 10.3% | 9.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 4.6% | 21.83 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | GOOD FIT | 4.0% | 25.01 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 3.5% | 28.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.0% | 32.87 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | CHEEKY BEE | 2.7% | 37.02 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | HAY RUN | 1.9% | 53.34 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 422
PLACE
7 82.5
8 41
9 12
QUINELLA
7,8 1,465.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 424.5
7,9 153.5
8,9 64.5
TIERCE
7,8,9 13,573
TRIO
7,8,9 1,407
FIRST 4
4,7,8,9 2,881
QUARTET
7,8,9,4 117,328
1ST DOUBLE
10/7 5,192
10/8 238.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 45.5
A2 —