Sha Tin · 2019-10-27
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly 1.39.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 2 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 14 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | WARM THE VOICE B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RULETHEROOST Closed strongly CP A Sanna · F C Lor | A Sanna | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VIGOR FAME Led early XB-/H/TT- H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RICKFIELD Closed strongly XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY CP-/PC1/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 3 | 5.9 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | HOME WIN B C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 11 | 83.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FARSHAD B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly H/TT U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 13 | 72.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLIE WAY B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | EXALTATION B1/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 5 | 129.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P2/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 7 | 72.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAR SLAM, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-1/2, with VOLPINO second and WARM THE VOICE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 27.6% | 3.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 16.9% | 5.93 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | WARM THE VOICE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RICKFIELD | 8.2% | 12.17 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | RULETHEROOST | 6.9% | 14.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | VIGOR FAME | 6.4% | 15.74 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | VOLPINO | 5.3% | 18.90 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE | 5.3% | 19.04 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 4.9% | 20.26 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FARSHAD | 3.1% | 31.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | WILLIE WAY | 1.9% | 53.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | HOME WIN | 1.8% | 55.45 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | EXALTATION | 1.4% | 71.25 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.4% | 71.32 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 21.5
PLACE
1 32.5
5 82.5
8 12.5
QUINELLA
5,8 409.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 526
1,8 50.5
5,8 143
TIERCE
8,5,1 3,547
TRIO
1,5,8 1,090
FIRST 4
1,5,8,11 1,783
QUARTET
8,5,1,11 24,428
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/1,5,8 124,530
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15.5
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 723.5
6/8 753.5