Sha Tin · 2019-10-27
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHATER THUNDER Closed strongly B/H/XB 1.40.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE Led early B-/PC2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 65.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | MR MAGELLAN Closed strongly C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 11 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER BERNINI Closed strongly B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 12 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WHAMPOA STAR Closed strongly PC H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY GEM PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 3.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LITTLE FANTASY CP/TT R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 10 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MI BLANCO Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | IRISH VEGA Closed strongly U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 5 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.8 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | VICTORY MARCH PC/TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 1 | 92.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC B/TT G van Niekerk · C H Yip | G van Niekerk | C H Yip | 14 | 36.0 | 17 |
| 13 | 0 | KEEP WINNING TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 13 | 23.0 | 25 |
| 14 | 0 | JOYFUL CONTENDER H-/PC- N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 9 | 36.0 | 25-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LET'S COME BACK U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-27 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHATER THUNDER, ridden by A Sanna and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with WINNING CIRCLE second and MR MAGELLAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite REGENCY GEM finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 34.3% | 2.92 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 15.3% | 6.55 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER BERNINI | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MR MAGELLAN | 6.1% | 16.39 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 4.8% | 20.72 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | MI BLANCO | 4.3% | 23.05 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 4.2% | 23.99 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | IRISH VEGA | 3.8% | 26.30 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORY MARCH | 3.2% | 31.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CHATER THUNDER | 2.8% | 35.47 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CONTENDER | 2.8% | 36.29 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | WHAMPOA STAR | 2.3% | 42.58 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | LITTLE FANTASY | 1.8% | 55.58 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE | 1.4% | 72.42 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 66.5
PLACE
1 35.5
10 18.5
14 164
QUINELLA
10,14 1,867
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 125.5
1,14 1,022
10,14 553.5
TIERCE
10,14,1 27,916
TRIO
1,10,14 7,324
FIRST 4
1,10,11,14 6,079
QUARTET
10,14,1,11 146,107
2ND DOUBLE
7/10 3,453
7/14 3,069.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 31
A3 —