Happy Valley · 2019-10-30
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly B 2.19.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 7 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN KID Closed strongly V-/B2 A Sanna · K W Lui | A Sanna | K W Lui | 6 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | WICKER Led early B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 4 | 6.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVANNAH WIND B J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 2 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly E/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SKY GEM L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | OUR GREEN B C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 1 | 42.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON WARRIOR B/XB C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 7.9 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-30 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG GLORY, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-3/4, with ROMANTIC JOURNEY second and GOLDEN KID third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SAVANNAH WIND finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM | 20.7% | 4.83 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVANNAH WIND | 16.3% | 6.15 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 15.3% | 6.54 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WICKER | 11.6% | 8.62 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN KID | 11.5% | 8.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON WARRIOR | 9.0% | 11.15 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 6.4% | 15.67 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY | 5.4% | 18.67 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | OUR GREEN | 3.9% | 25.41 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 67.5
PLACE
5 19
8 27
9 23.5
QUINELLA
8,9 267
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 72.5
5,9 76.5
8,9 79
TIERCE
9,8,5 1,804
TRIO
5,8,9 330
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 537
QUARTET
9,8,5,7 10,701
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 25.5
A3 —