Happy Valley · 2019-10-30
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-30 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLYING QUEST, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with UNIVERSAL GO GO second and LOOKING GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite UNIVERSAL GO GO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B 1.39.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 9.8 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | LOOKING GOOD Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 1 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 23.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAR AGAIN Closed strongly SR U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 7 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | ARCADA TT K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | 5 | 9.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | CIRCUIT HASSLER B/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 9 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TRAVEL FIRST B/TT C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 2 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | PRETTY BAUHINIA H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 51.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | LAST KINGDOM Led early XB A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 12 | 9.4 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 3 | COBY BOY B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 24.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LOOKING GOOD | 22.7% | 4.40 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 20.5% | 4.87 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | LAST KINGDOM | 12.4% | 8.06 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 10.7% | 9.33 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 8.7% | 11.56 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | ARCADA | 7.4% | 13.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING QUEST | 5.3% | 18.96 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | RED ELYSEES | 4.1% | 24.26 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAR AGAIN | 3.5% | 28.67 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 2.4% | 42.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | TRAVEL FIRST | 2.3% | 43.34 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 98.5
PLACE
5 25.5
8 21.5
9 15
QUINELLA
5,9 178
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 110
5,9 66.5
8,9 39
TIERCE
5,9,8 2,155
TRIO
5,8,9 310
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 1,228
QUARTET
5,9,8,7 28,721
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,12/5,8,9 25,230
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 26
6TH DOUBLE
12/5 1,154.5
12/9 73.5