Happy Valley · 2019-10-30
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 3 | 6.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | TANGMERE Closed strongly V/XB Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 6 | 26.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS B G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT Led early K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINING ON J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 7 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY Closed strongly H/CP2 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT A Sanna · C W Chang | A Sanna | C W Chang | 9 | 66.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SPIRIT Closed strongly B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 11 | 56.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUNG POWER H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 175.0 | 38-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-30 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLASH FAMOUS, ridden by C Schofield and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with TANGMERE second and ELECTRIC LIGHTNING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite TANGMERE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHINING ON | 30.3% | 3.31 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | TANGMERE | 23.1% | 4.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 12.7% | 7.87 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 9.8% | 10.25 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 7.8% | 12.85 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 6.0% | 16.77 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 5.5% | 18.34 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 1.3% | 79.19 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SPIRIT | 1.2% | 83.04 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 1.1% | 92.53 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 0.9% | 116.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUNG POWER | 0.6% | 175.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 67
PLACE
2 17.5
7 22.5
9 61
QUINELLA
2,7 151.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 54
2,9 204
7,9 279
TIERCE
7,2,9 9,911
TRIO
2,7,9 1,207
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 2,934
QUARTET
7,2,9,6 66,919
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1>4,8,11/2,7,9 25,695
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 37.5
1/7 504.5