Happy Valley · 2019-12-04
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOCTORS DELIGHT Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD VELVET Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 1 | 8.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS Closed strongly B Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 6 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CALLING THE SHOTS Led early B/TT O Murphy · A S Cruz | O Murphy | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 5 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GODSPEED Closed strongly B J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 8 | 5.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · K L Man | G van Niekerk | K L Man | 11 | 57.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DIVINE POWER B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KEEP GOING H-/PC H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 82.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-04 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DOCTORS DELIGHT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with GOLD VELVET second and KWAICHUNG BROTHERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite LIVERBIRD STAR finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 23.3% | 4.28 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 13.1% | 7.62 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | DOCTORS DELIGHT | 12.6% | 7.93 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS | 11.8% | 8.45 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD VELVET | 9.9% | 10.12 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 9.8% | 10.17 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | CALLING THE SHOTS | 8.1% | 12.32 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | GODSPEED | 5.4% | 18.66 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND | 1.9% | 51.44 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 1.8% | 56.77 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | KEEP GOING | 1.2% | 82.88 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | DIVINE POWER | 1.0% | 101.06 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 102.5
PLACE
5 26
7 37.5
11 35
QUINELLA
5,7 397
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 120.5
5,11 178.5
7,11 180
TIERCE
7,5,11 10,815
TRIO
5,7,11 1,594
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 3,509
QUARTET
7,5,11,1 85,850
1ST DOUBLE
6/5 56.5
6/7 626
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —