Happy Valley · 2019-12-04
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT 1.40.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS B1 J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 11 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B- Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 12 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR Closed strongly XB Y Kawada · D J Whyte | Y Kawada | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B L Dettori · P O'Sullivan | L Dettori | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS B P-C Boudot · C S Shum | P-C Boudot | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly R Moore · A T Millard | R Moore | A T Millard | 8 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY Closed strongly CP/H O Murphy · L Ho | O Murphy | L Ho | 10 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 94.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Keane · F C Lor | C Keane | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART ROCKET CP-/B2 J McDonald · J Moore | J McDonald | J Moore | 2 | 9.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED TT S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 6 | 30.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DREAM WARRIORS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with MURRAY'S PARTNERS second and THUNDER STOMP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite RIGHTEOUS MATE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 23.1% | 4.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 13.7% | 7.28 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 8.9% | 11.21 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | STARSHIP | 7.4% | 13.58 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 5.9% | 16.93 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED | 5.6% | 17.85 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 5.5% | 18.15 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART ROCKET | 2.9% | 34.01 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 2.3% | 43.69 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 2.0% | 49.02 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 0.9% | 110.11 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 40
PLACE
2 63
7 18.5
10 35
QUINELLA
7,10 258.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 172.5
2,10 274
7,10 95.5
TIERCE
7,10,2 8,475
TRIO
2,7,10 1,689
FIRST 4
2,6,7,10 3,448
QUARTET
7,10,2,6 73,584
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/2,7,10 88,959
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/7 231
7/10 162.5