Happy Valley · 2019-12-04
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB 1.49.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 4 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | THE HULK Led early XB S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 12 | 27.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD OMEN Closed strongly CP-/B1 O Murphy · D J Whyte | O Murphy | D J Whyte | 9 | 55.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 5 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST C Keane · F C Lor | C Keane | F C Lor | 3 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MR SO AND SO Closed strongly TT P-C Boudot · J Size | P-C Boudot | J Size | 11 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN LUCK B/H Y Kawada · C Fownes | Y Kawada | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · J Moore | J McDonald | J Moore | 6 | 9.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON H L Dettori · J Moore | L Dettori | J Moore | 8 | 9.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RUTHVEN H/TT R Moore · F C Lor | R Moore | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-04 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GLORIOUS DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A T Millard, won by SH, with THE HULK second and HIGH REV third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite HIGH REV finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 18.8% | 5.32 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HIGH REV | 15.2% | 6.58 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 15.2% | 6.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 10.2% | 9.85 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 8.7% | 11.54 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | RUTHVEN | 7.6% | 13.19 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON | 5.9% | 17.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.15 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENE CHARISMA | 5.6% | 17.88 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | THE HULK | 4.3% | 23.18 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | MR SO AND SO | 1.9% | 52.10 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD OMEN | 0.9% | 114.12 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 42.5
PLACE
10 14
11 62
12 16
QUINELLA
11,12 579.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 138.5
10,12 30.5
11,12 173.5
TIERCE
12,11,10 3,657
TRIO
10,11,12 474
FIRST 4
8,10,11,12 4,629
QUARTET
12,11,10,8 95,896
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/10,11,12 45,881
1 [K Teetan] —
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16
7TH DOUBLE
4/11 807.5
4/12 550.5