Happy Valley · 2019-12-11
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CUE THE MUSIC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1/2, with STARLIGHT second and SHINING ACE third. The 3.4 favourite LE TERROIR finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 5 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | STARLIGHT U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 2 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | SHINING ACE B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 3 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | FIRST RESPONDER CP/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 1 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SEATTLE CHOICE K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 65.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | MY DARLING M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | NORDIC WARRIOR B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | LE TERROIR CP/H/XB J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 9 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | E MASTER V/XB L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 8 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SHANGHAI MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 2 | TRANSCENDENT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LE TERROIR | 24.1% | 4.15 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | SHINING ACE | 13.9% | 7.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CUE THE MUSIC | 12.2% | 8.17 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | FIRST RESPONDER | 9.9% | 10.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 9.5% | 10.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 8.0% | 12.45 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | MY DARLING | 6.6% | 15.06 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 5.4% | 18.66 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | STARLIGHT | 3.9% | 25.61 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | SHANGHAI MASTER | 3.9% | 25.75 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | E MASTER | 2.4% | 41.03 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 71
PLACE
1 25.5
5 15.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
1,10 600
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 51.5
1,10 161.5
5,10 97
TIERCE
1,10,5 3,870
TRIO
1,5,10 536
FIRST 4
1,5,7,10 856
QUARTET
1,10,5,7 26,922
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 20
A3 —
All pools (3 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 302
1/10 135.5
SIX UP
1,3/1,10/4,6/3,12/1,8/1,10 17,084
3/10/4/3/1/1 2,355,063
5 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
3/1/1 1,310
3/1/10 607