Happy Valley · 2019-12-26
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOR DOR Closed strongly H 1.40.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR Closed strongly XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 2 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING ON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SANGRIA B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP/H K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 10 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RAZOR QUEST Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 9 | 175.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR Led early H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 11 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HURRICANE HUNTER H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 105.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | DASHING DART M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DOR DOR, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with WINNING ENDEAVOUR second and SHINING ON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite WINNING ENDEAVOUR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 32.4% | 3.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DOR DOR | 15.8% | 6.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING ON | 14.4% | 6.96 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 7.3% | 13.61 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 6.5% | 15.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 5.5% | 18.11 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SANGRIA | 5.5% | 18.31 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 4.1% | 24.23 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 2.8% | 35.80 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 2.3% | 44.15 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | RAZOR QUEST | 1.8% | 56.36 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.6% | 63.97 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 62.5
PLACE
3 11.5
6 30
7 17
QUINELLA
3,7 50
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 45
3,7 27.5
6,7 90.5
TIERCE
7,3,6 914
TRIO
3,6,7 132
FIRST 4
3,6,7,8 519
QUARTET
7,3,6,8 11,636
2ND DOUBLE
6/3 23.5
6/7 443
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29