Happy Valley · 2019-12-26
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRIVATE SECRETARY Closed strongly TT1 1.39.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON Closed strongly H M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 10 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD XB/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 8 | 57.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HARMONY HERO Closed strongly B/H/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD OMEN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly B-/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 175.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | THE HULK XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HEZTHEWONFORUS Led early SR B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 6 | 6.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER TURBO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 33.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GRACEANDMERCY XB S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 5 | 19.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-26 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PRIVATE SECRETARY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with HAPPY DRAGON second and BAND OF BROTHERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite BAND OF BROTHERS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 26.1% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 19.7% | 5.09 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | THE HULK | 16.0% | 6.27 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY HERO | 9.2% | 10.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 9.0% | 11.11 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER TURBO | 5.0% | 20.07 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.94 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | GRACEANDMERCY | 3.3% | 30.06 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIVATE SECRETARY | 3.3% | 30.32 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD OMEN | 1.5% | 65.27 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.2% | 82.30 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 1.0% | 96.98 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 116.5
PLACE
4 54.5
6 34.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
4,6 1,088
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 262.5
4,11 108
6,11 75
TIERCE
6,4,11 6,660
TRIO
4,6,11 1,083
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 6,510
QUARTET
6,4,11,7 127,633
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/4,6,11 139,933
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 34.5
7TH DOUBLE
9/4 225
9/6 757