Happy Valley · 2019-12-26
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT 2.16.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 7 | 5.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly CP/TT J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 9 | 2.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT N Callan · C S Shum | N Callan | C S Shum | 2 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE Led early SR/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ARCATRAZ Closed strongly CP/XB R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | 6 | 133.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 36.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WIND GLIDER K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 42.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | JIMMU SR A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-26 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. CLEMENT LEGEND, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with STIMULATION second and TASHIDELEK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite TASHIDELEK finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 41.3% | 2.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 12.3% | 8.12 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | STIMULATION | 10.9% | 9.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 8.2% | 12.16 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 7.8% | 12.90 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 6.7% | 14.97 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | JIMMU | 6.6% | 15.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE | 4.3% | 23.14 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 1.1% | 93.00 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | ARCATRAZ | 0.8% | 121.77 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 56
PLACE
3 23.5
4 12.5
6 15
QUINELLA
3,6 192.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 41
3,6 57
4,6 25.5
TIERCE
6,3,4 875
TRIO
3,4,6 100
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 185
QUARTET
6,3,4,10 5,942
1ST DOUBLE
11/3 279
11/6 1,497.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15