Happy Valley · 2019-12-26
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 10 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 4 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly B- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL RACER H-/PC- Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE Closed strongly P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 3.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 5 | 76.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 9 | 178.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FOREVER BRIGHT Led early L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.9 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CAMFORD MAGIC T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 3 | 261.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY DRAGON CP/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 44.0 | 30 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MANAGEMENT STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with CHARITY WINGS second and ENJOY LIFE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE | 40.7% | 2.46 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 14.1% | 7.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 11.7% | 8.56 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS | 8.3% | 12.09 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 6.1% | 16.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR | 4.4% | 22.83 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 4.3% | 23.03 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FOREVER BRIGHT | 3.9% | 25.72 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SUNNY DRAGON | 3.2% | 31.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | EXALTATION | 1.5% | 64.81 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 1.2% | 84.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | CAMFORD MAGIC | 0.6% | 176.82 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 100.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 19
10 35.5
QUINELLA
2,10 326
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 50.5
2,10 79.5
5,10 101.5
TIERCE
10,2,5 4,364
TRIO
2,5,10 421
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 665
QUARTET
10,2,5,6 19,886
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 33.5
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 68.5
7/10 847