Happy Valley · 2020-01-08
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK Closed strongly B 1.40.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 3 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RULETHEROOST Closed strongly CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BRIGHT KID B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 11 | 64.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 8.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR Led early E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 12 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT CP-/B1/H1 C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 7 | 52.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | VITALITY FORTUNE H/TT T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 10 | 175.0 | 15-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. POLYMER LUCK, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with NABOO STAR second and ORIENTAL ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RULETHEROOST | 26.2% | 3.82 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 9.6% | 10.45 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 8.5% | 11.77 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 8.2% | 12.21 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK | 7.3% | 13.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 6.1% | 16.35 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 2.7% | 36.94 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 2.5% | 40.72 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 2.1% | 48.57 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | VITALITY FORTUNE | 0.5% | 184.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 37
PLACE
2 20.5
3 39.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
2,11 123
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 133.5
2,11 47
3,11 102
TIERCE
11,2,3 2,649
TRIO
2,3,11 574
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 304
QUARTET
11,2,3,1 7,456
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 55
6/11 272
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —