Happy Valley · 2020-01-08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS Closed strongly B/XB 1.48.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 2 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | MONSTER KAKA Led early J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 12 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 1 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WIN WIN B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 5 | 4.5 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | HOME WIN L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 9 | 111.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WORLD FAMOUS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER ELEGANCE second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MONSTER KAKA | 21.7% | 4.60 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 15.5% | 6.45 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 9.9% | 10.10 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | STIMULATION | 9.0% | 11.17 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 6.8% | 14.71 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 5.9% | 17.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 5.8% | 17.25 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 5.0% | 20.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.3% | 23.34 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | WIN WIN | 3.1% | 32.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | HOME WIN | 1.2% | 85.11 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 45
PLACE
4 18
5 39
6 22
QUINELLA
4,5 148
4,6 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 102.5
4,6 50
5,6 102.5
TIERCE
4,5,6 840
4,6,5 806
TRIO
4,5,6 372
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 337
QUARTET
4,5,6,7 3,205
4,6,5,7 3,191
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/4,5,6 8,214
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22.5
6TH DOUBLE
8/4 229.5
8/5 58
8/6 32
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,12/5,6,8/4,5,6 237,622
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,12/5,6,8/Any Combination 1,594