Happy Valley · 2020-01-08
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF Closed strongly TT- 1.48.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 9 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SACRED CAPITAL Closed strongly P- J Moreira · J Lau | J Moreira | J Lau | 4 | 3.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TIME WARP Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT CP-/XB A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | EAGLE WAY B/TT S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND V Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-08 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DOCTOR GEOFF, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with HARMONY VICTORY second and SACRED CAPITAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SACRED CAPITAL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 30.6% | 3.27 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SACRED CAPITAL | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF | 7.2% | 13.97 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | TIME WARP | 7.0% | 14.26 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | EAGLE WAY | 3.0% | 32.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 2.8% | 35.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 2.8% | 35.50 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT | 2.5% | 39.46 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 43.5
PLACE
5 15.5
6 19.5
8 16
QUINELLA
6,8 128.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 49.5
5,8 38
6,8 45
TIERCE
8,6,5 979
TRIO
5,6,8 149
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 204
QUARTET
8,6,5,2 4,813
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
3/6 30
3/8 232.5