Sha Tin · 2020-01-11
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly 1.22.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 4 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER Closed strongly B/H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 14 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NUNCHUKS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 32.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | YES WE CAN TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 339.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 9 | 33.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JUNZI Closed strongly T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 3 | 245.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DESTINE JEWELLERY Led early B G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 12 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | BABY STORM H/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 257.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | XPONENTIAL XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 3.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | WILLFUL Closed strongly B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 13 | 270.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING B/TT1 N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 11 | 14.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN FOUR, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C W Chang, won by 1/2, with TRIPLE TRIPLE second and CIRCUIT HASSLER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite XPONENTIAL finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 22.1% | 4.53 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | XPONENTIAL | 16.3% | 6.14 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 13.9% | 7.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 9.5% | 10.56 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 8.4% | 11.90 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER | 8.0% | 12.51 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 7.9% | 12.72 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING | 5.3% | 18.74 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 3.5% | 28.44 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BABY STORM | 1.2% | 82.56 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | JUNZI | 1.1% | 87.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 1.1% | 94.90 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 0.9% | 106.11 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | WILLFUL | 0.8% | 123.69 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 71
PLACE
2 23.5
4 18
13 20
QUINELLA
4,13 157
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 49
2,13 57
4,13 52.5
TIERCE
13,4,2 1,642
TRIO
2,4,13 258
FIRST 4
2,4,7,13 329
QUARTET
13,4,2,7 8,162
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,12,14/2,4,13 21,727
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 30.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/4 153
12/13 1,027.5