Sha Tin · 2020-01-11
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly 1.38.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 5 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 2 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly H/CP1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 12 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 113.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly PC/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 14 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | ENDEARING PC/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 10 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | COBY OPPA CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL B-/H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 33.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO B T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 1 | 333.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LAST KINGDOM Led early P/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 24.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | GRAN MASTER V-/H/B2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 197.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-11 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAR SLAM, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-1/4, with RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE second and HOLY HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 18.9% | 5.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 14.4% | 6.97 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | COBY OPPA | 13.5% | 7.39 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 8.8% | 11.36 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING | 7.6% | 13.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 7.4% | 13.46 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | VOLPINO | 6.2% | 16.21 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | LAST KINGDOM | 5.6% | 17.81 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | ENDEARING | 5.6% | 17.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | GRAN MASTER | 3.5% | 28.34 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL | 3.0% | 33.84 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 2.0% | 49.83 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 1.8% | 55.59 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE | 1.7% | 57.15 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 36.5
PLACE
2 16
6 18
9 15.5
QUINELLA
2,9 59.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 42.5
2,9 30
6,9 40
TIERCE
2,9,6 405
TRIO
2,6,9 71
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 192
QUARTET
2,9,6,8 2,548
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
13/2 254.5
13/9 37.5