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Sha Tin · 2020-01-11

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FARHH ABOVE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with TAKE WHAT YOU NEED second and GLENEALY GENERALS third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 FARHH ABOVE H-/XB1/TT- 1.09.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D J Whyte 14 3.9 3/4
2 3 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B B Shinn · J Moore 6 5.1 3/4
3 11 GLENEALY GENERALS K Teetan · C H Yip 11 8.0 1-1/2
4 1 FLYING ON THE TURF CP1 K C Leung · K H Ting 9 228.0 1-3/4
5 2 INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT J Moreira · J Size 2 6.2 2
6 10 HONEST WAY N Callan · D E Ferraris 3 7.9 2-1/4
7 5 BALTIC SUCCESS H1/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum 10 7.6 3-1/2
8 12 GRADE ONE B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 7 6.3 3-1/2
9 4 WHISKEY NEAT TT1 A Badel · C Fownes 4 108.0 3-3/4
10 14 INTERSTELLAR H/TT H T Mo · K W Lui 8 232.0 4-3/4
11 6 CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz 13 51.0 6
12 8 JADE THEATRE B M F Poon · K L Man 12 151.0 7
13 13 HARD PROMISE M L Yeung · T P Yung 1 90.0 7-1/2
14 9 FORZA ANGEL B H N Wong · Y S Tsui 5 176.0 7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FARHH ABOVE2. TAKE WHAT YOU NEED+0.75L3. GLENEALY GENERALS+1.5L4. FLYING ON THE TURF+1.75L5. INFINITY ENDEAVOUR+2L6. HONEST WAY+2.25L7. BALTIC SUCCESS+3.5L8. GRADE ONE+3.5L9. WHISKEY NEAT+3.75L10. INTERSTELLAR+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick FARHH ABOVE (19.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FARHH ABOVE 19.7% 5.08 1
2 2 INFINITY ENDEAVOUR 18.9% 5.30 5
3 11 GLENEALY GENERALS 12.4% 8.07 3
4 10 HONEST WAY 11.0% 9.08 6
5 3 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED 10.7% 9.36 2
6 5 BALTIC SUCCESS 9.9% 10.10 7
7 12 GRADE ONE 5.1% 19.44 8
8 6 CALIFORNIA ARGENT 2.3% 43.28 11
9 8 JADE THEATRE 2.2% 45.98 12
10 9 FORZA ANGEL 2.0% 50.52 14
11 13 HARD PROMISE 1.9% 53.29 13
12 1 FLYING ON THE TURF 1.7% 58.26 4
13 14 INTERSTELLAR 1.2% 86.26 10
14 4 WHISKEY NEAT 1.1% 89.95 9
FARHH ABOVE — wonINFINITY ENDEAVOURGLENEALY GENERALSHONEST WAYTAKE WHAT YOU NEEDBALTIC SUCCESSGRADE ONECALIFORNIA ARGENTJADE THEATREFORZA ANGELHARD PROMISEFLYING ON THE TURFINTERSTELLARWHISKEY NEAT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 39

PLACE

3 20.5

7 19

11 25.5

QUINELLA

3,7 123.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 49.5

3,11 69.5

7,11 66.5

TIERCE

7,3,11 1,001

TRIO

3,7,11 236

FIRST 4

1,3,7,11 6,998

QUARTET

7,3,11,1 55,219

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 24

A2

All pools (1 more)

4TH DOUBLE

11/3 48.5

11/7 245.5