沙田 · 2020-01-11
第 5場
2020-01-11沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、D J Whyte訓練的FARHH ABOVE勝出，贏出3/4。TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得亞軍；GLENEALY GENERALS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FARHH ABOVE H-/XB1/TT- 1.09.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 14 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 6 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | GLENEALY GENERALS K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF CP1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 228.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | HONEST WAY N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | BALTIC SUCCESS H1/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 10 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | GRADE ONE B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT TT1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 108.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | INTERSTELLAR H/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 8 | 232.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 13 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | JADE THEATRE B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 151.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | HARD PROMISE M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 90.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | FORZA ANGEL B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 176.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FARHH ABOVE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 18.9% | 5.30 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 12.4% | 8.07 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | HONEST WAY | 11.0% | 9.08 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 10.7% | 9.36 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 9.9% | 10.10 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | GRADE ONE | 5.1% | 19.44 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 2.3% | 43.28 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | JADE THEATRE | 2.2% | 45.98 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | FORZA ANGEL | 2.0% | 50.52 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | HARD PROMISE | 1.9% | 53.29 | 13 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 1.7% | 58.26 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | INTERSTELLAR | 1.2% | 86.26 | 10 |
| 14 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT | 1.1% | 89.95 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 39
PLACE
3 20.5
7 19
11 25.5
QUINELLA
3,7 123.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 49.5
3,11 69.5
7,11 66.5
TIERCE
7,3,11 1,001
TRIO
3,7,11 236
FIRST 4
1,3,7,11 6,998
QUARTET
7,3,11,1 55,219
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 48.5
11/7 245.5