沙田 · 2020-01-11
第 6場
2020-01-11沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C W Chang訓練的WINNING TOGETHER勝出，贏出1/2。CASIMIRO獲得亞軍；SUNSHINE WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門KING'S RACE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WINNING TOGETHER 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | CASIMIRO 後段發力 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | KING'S RACE 早段領放 CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 13 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SAM'S LOVE TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 4 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU B G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 12 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | METHANE L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 1 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ADONIS 後段發力 H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FANTASTIC BOY K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 69.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | FOREVER SHARP TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SPEEDY DRAGON B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | JOY N FUN LEGEND 後段發力 TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 14 | 250.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE P1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 12.6% | 7.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 14 | CASIMIRO | 11.8% | 8.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | KING'S RACE | 11.7% | 8.55 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE | 10.8% | 9.29 | 14 |
| 5 | 11 | ADONIS | 10.4% | 9.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | SAM'S LOVE | 7.9% | 12.65 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU | 7.3% | 13.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | MY WINNER | 6.2% | 16.12 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 6.2% | 16.22 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING TOGETHER | 5.1% | 19.43 | 1 |
| 11 | 7 | FOREVER SHARP | 3.6% | 28.07 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | FANTASTIC BOY | 3.4% | 29.41 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | METHANE | 2.2% | 45.04 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 0.9% | 117.44 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 178.5
PLACE
1 21
12 52.5
14 21
QUINELLA
12,14 578
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 223
1,14 69
12,14 176.5
TIERCE
12,14,1 8,517
TRIO
1,12,14 1,171
FIRST 4
1,2,12,14 1,106
QUARTET
12,14,1,2 36,926
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/12 815.5
7/14 43
TRIPLE TRIO
7,11,13/3,7,11/1,12,14 1,751,629
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,11,13/3,7,11/Any Combination 6,705