沙田 · 2020-01-11
第 10場
2020-01-11沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PRECIOUSSHIP勝出，贏出3/4。COLUMBUS COUNTY獲得亞軍；CORDYCEPS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PRECIOUSSHIP 後段發力 XB 1.33.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | COLUMBUS COUNTY 後段發力 H/XB1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CORDYCEPS 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | NICCONI EXPRESS 後段發力 P S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 11 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | RIGHT CHOICE B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 97.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 XB/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | HEZTHEWONFORUS 早段領放 SR M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 9 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | HELENE CHARISMA 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 10 | 129.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BAND OF BROTHERS K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | PRIVATE SECRETARY TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPERICH 後段發力 SR/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 14 | 103.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | GOOD OMEN B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO B/H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 13 | 153.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | KING OPIE V G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 7 | 58.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 19.0% | 5.26 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | PRIVATE SECRETARY | 18.9% | 5.29 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 14.0% | 7.16 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 9.5% | 10.56 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | KING OPIE | 4.1% | 24.67 | 14 |
| 7 | 3 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 3.7% | 27.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | CORDYCEPS | 3.2% | 31.31 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | RIGHT CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPERICH | 2.6% | 37.88 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | BUTTERFIELD | 2.4% | 41.02 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO | 2.4% | 41.55 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | HELENE CHARISMA | 2.0% | 49.25 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | GOOD OMEN | 2.0% | 51.18 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 36.5
PLACE
6 15
11 38
13 24
QUINELLA
6,13 143.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 90
6,13 50.5
11,13 196
TIERCE
6,13,11 3,239
TRIO
6,11,13 759
FIRST 4
5,6,11,13 656
QUARTET
6,13,11,5 11,455
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,10/6,11,13 507,114
9TH DOUBLE
1/6 134.5
1/13 55
SIX UP
3,7/12,14/4,13/2,9/1,10/6,13 1,388
7/12/13/2/1/6 635,468
3 [T Piccone] —
TREBLE
2/1/6 351
2/1/13 150