沙田 · 2020-01-11
第 1場
2020-01-11沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、K W Lui訓練的BRILLIANT勝出，贏出1-1/4。JUNEAU PARK獲得亞軍；KA YING EXCELLENT獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門WAYFOONG STAR跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BRILLIANT H/TT 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 14 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | WAYFOONG STAR XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 1.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SPICY REALLY B/H H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 1 | 47.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | CHARGE ON H1 L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 2 | 149.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Hall | G van Niekerk | D J Hall | 3 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | DECISIVE ACTION T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 11 | 88.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | COLORADO HIGH B1 S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 13 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SPEED FAY FAY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 165.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SKY TREASURE H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 68.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | KA FORTUNE XB-/H H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | LOTUS BREEZE B/XB/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 5 | 42.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | HARBOUR ALERT B/TT1 K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 10 | 126.0 | 21 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK | 31.5% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | WAYFOONG STAR | 17.5% | 5.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | COLORADO HIGH | 9.3% | 10.77 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 9.0% | 11.07 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | BRILLIANT | 8.1% | 12.29 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 7.9% | 12.62 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SPEED FAY FAY | 3.4% | 29.59 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | LOTUS BREEZE | 3.1% | 32.21 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | KA FORTUNE | 2.3% | 44.14 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | SKY TREASURE | 2.2% | 45.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | CHARGE ON | 1.7% | 57.97 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | SPICY REALLY | 1.6% | 63.81 | 5 |
| 13 | 1 | DECISIVE ACTION | 1.2% | 84.43 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | HARBOUR ALERT | 1.2% | 84.90 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 260.5
PLACE
4 20.5
6 25
12 49.5
QUINELLA
6,12 748
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 74
4,12 158
6,12 214
TIERCE
12,6,4 9,995
TRIO
4,6,12 1,152
FIRST 4
4,6,9,12 448
QUARTET
12,6,4,9 21,056
3 PICK 1
A3 51
A2 —
A1 —