Happy Valley · 2020-01-22
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · D E Ferraris | S De Sousa | D E Ferraris | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY Closed strongly CP/H K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 8 | 174.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Led early H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 5 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC B T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly B2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 5.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT B/H N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 1 | 92.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY SR L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 10 | 21.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B H W Lai · T P Yung | H W Lai | T P Yung | 3 | 17.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLASH FAMOUS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with ROYAL RACER second and NITRO EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 27.0% | 3.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 13.1% | 7.62 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 12.4% | 8.07 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 12.2% | 8.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 9.1% | 11.00 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 5.5% | 18.05 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 4.9% | 20.53 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 4.8% | 20.63 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 4.4% | 22.77 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC | 2.8% | 35.64 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 2.1% | 48.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.7% | 59.34 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 35.5
PLACE
2 15
8 20
10 33.5
QUINELLA
2,8 100
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 36.5
2,10 81.5
8,10 124
TIERCE
2,8,10 1,627
TRIO
2,8,10 429
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 983
QUARTET
2,8,10,3 15,519
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20.5
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/2 201
4/8 35.5