Happy Valley · 2020-01-22
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KIRAM Closed strongly 1.40.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 10 | 40.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly B/SR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 2 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RACING LUCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | REYNOLDS Closed strongly B-/SR/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 9 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 6 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | COT CAMPBELL B/XB T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 12 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY Led early H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 7 | 267.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-22 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. KIRAM, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D E Ferraris, won by N, with FARSHAD second and JADE FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite FARSHAD finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 28.4% | 3.52 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | COT CAMPBELL | 14.6% | 6.87 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | FARSHAD | 10.8% | 9.27 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | RACING LUCK | 8.5% | 11.76 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 7.4% | 13.47 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | KIRAM | 7.2% | 13.90 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | STARSHIP | 7.1% | 14.00 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 5.5% | 18.03 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | REYNOLDS | 5.1% | 19.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE | 2.8% | 35.16 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 1.5% | 65.78 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.0% | 98.17 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 402.5
PLACE
9 45.5
10 80.5
12 14
QUINELLA
10,12 705
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 683
9,12 107.5
10,12 217
TIERCE
10,12,9 25,794
TRIO
9,10,12 2,352
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 5,770
QUARTET
10,12,9,1 211,904
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6>4,9/9,10,12 125,390
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29
6TH DOUBLE
4,9/10 781.5
4,9/12 15.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,7/3,6>4,9/9,10,12 1,885,519
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,7/3,6>4,9/Any Combination 5,018