Happy Valley · 2020-01-22
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DOR DOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with STARLIT KNIGHT second and FULL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DOR DOR Closed strongly H 1.40.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | STARLIT KNIGHT Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | FULL POWER Closed strongly XB/B1 B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 3 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | DOCTORS DELIGHT H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL Led early TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 8 | 140.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SANGRIA B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS P-/B2 H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 4 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS MATE T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 12 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | ROMAN IMPERO B H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 40.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUNNY POWER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 9 | AFTER ME K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DOR DOR | 37.4% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | DOCTORS DELIGHT | 12.2% | 8.18 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | BRIGHT KID | 7.7% | 12.94 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | SANGRIA | 7.7% | 13.01 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | FULL POWER | 6.7% | 14.96 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 6.3% | 16.00 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 3.8% | 26.33 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | ROMAN IMPERO | 3.0% | 32.83 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 1.8% | 55.02 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 1.2% | 84.74 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 19
PLACE
3 25.5
4 11
6 30
QUINELLA
3,4 75
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 32.5
3,6 152.5
4,6 47.5
TIERCE
4,3,6 945
TRIO
3,4,6 296
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 1,045
QUARTET
4,3,6,5 10,686
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/3 65
2/4,9 101.5