Sha Tin · 2020-02-19
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB 1.48.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 4 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 1 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 12 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 13 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B-/PC2/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 6 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 8 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | GENERAL DINO B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 14 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING CITY Led early P B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | I DO B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 6.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND P2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 24.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | WIND GLIDER B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 209.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT CP1/TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 5 | 124.0 | 19-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-19 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with RED ELYSEES second and VOLPINO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 25.3% | 3.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 14.9% | 6.72 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 11.0% | 9.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | VOLPINO | 10.1% | 9.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | I DO | 8.1% | 12.41 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING | 7.1% | 14.14 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 6.5% | 15.29 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 5.8% | 17.31 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 2.4% | 41.62 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 2.1% | 46.93 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 2.0% | 50.35 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 1.9% | 53.07 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 1.6% | 61.90 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 1.2% | 86.08 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 28.5
PLACE
5 47
6 31
9 14.5
QUINELLA
6,9 175
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 166
5,9 78.5
6,9 70
TIERCE
9,6,5 1,707
TRIO
5,6,9 352
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 654
QUARTET
9,6,5,7 8,965
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/6 84.5
1/9 120.5