Sha Tin · 2020-02-19
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SUPER POWER MAN, ridden by C Schofield and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with ZERO HEDGE second and DREAM WARRIORS third. The 2.7 favourite PARTY GENIUS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER POWER MAN 1.09.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 12 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | LADY FIRST XB2/TT G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 5 | 9.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | COOLCELEB B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | DAILY BEAUTY B1/TT1 Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | PARTY GENIUS XB1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SO WE JOY TT1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 137.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SKY TREASURE H M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 6 | 7.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | ISLAND WINNER CP-/XB/P1/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN EFFORT B M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 1 | 40.0 | 18 |
| 12 | 3 | UNDEFEATED B H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 10 | 6.8 | 31-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LADY FIRST | 19.7% | 5.08 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | ZERO HEDGE | 16.3% | 6.13 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | UNDEFEATED | 16.1% | 6.22 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | ISLAND WINNER | 11.0% | 9.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | DAILY BEAUTY | 10.0% | 9.99 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | PARTY GENIUS | 7.2% | 13.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | DREAM WARRIORS | 6.1% | 16.43 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER POWER MAN | 3.6% | 27.75 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | SO WE JOY | 3.5% | 28.79 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | SKY TREASURE | 3.3% | 29.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN EFFORT | 1.8% | 54.61 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | COOLCELEB | 1.4% | 72.69 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 243.5
PLACE
2 56.5
4 17.5
8 52
QUINELLA
4,8 633.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 138
2,8 683
4,8 187
TIERCE
8,4,2 22,139
TRIO
2,4,8 3,580
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 5,521
QUARTET
8,4,2,1 165,012
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/2,4,8 709,094
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 30.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 72.5
8/8 1,979