Sha Tin · 2020-02-19
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 9.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE Closed strongly P/H2/XB2 T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 2 | 4.9 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HAY RUN Closed strongly H-/TT- K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ROCKAGE B/H/XB/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 13 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT SMART B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 8 | 165.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEP WINNING TT C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 4 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR Led early H-/V1 B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 5 | 83.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE B-/H-/PC2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 13.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | OUR GREEN B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MI BLANCO B/TT J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 6.1 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 58.0 | 17 |
| — | 0 | SUNNY MAJOR H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MASTER BERNINI C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-19 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HIDDEN SPIRIT, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by HD, with KA YING BRILLIANCE second and SUPER RED DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SUPER RED DRAGON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 15.4% | 6.48 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MI BLANCO | 14.8% | 6.78 | 13 |
| 3 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 13.2% | 7.57 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 12.5% | 7.98 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM | 10.0% | 10.00 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 5.9% | 16.88 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 5.7% | 17.61 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION | 4.7% | 21.24 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | HAY RUN | 4.1% | 24.62 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE | 3.8% | 26.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ROCKAGE | 3.8% | 26.49 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | OUR GREEN | 3.7% | 26.67 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 1.3% | 79.23 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR | 1.1% | 91.68 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 95
PLACE
2 16
4 22.5
8 27.5
QUINELLA
4,8 219.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 57.5
2,8 78.5
4,8 97
TIERCE
8,4,2 2,623
TRIO
2,4,8 363
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 1,716
QUARTET
8,4,2,1 43,636
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 37
1/8 450.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A3 —
A1 —