Sha Tin · 2020-02-19
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS Closed strongly TT 1.38.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 2.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MEGATRON B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD FIT Closed strongly PC/TT H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 78.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Closed strongly B K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 3 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 13 | 7.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 14 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPREME PATROL SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 42.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT Closed strongly P2/TT C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 12 | 34.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 193.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 8 | 36.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT B/H M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 149.0 | 52 |
| — | 0 | TANG FLEMING B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 28.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FOODIE PRINCESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by W Y So, won by 3-1/2, with THIS ONE'S FOR YOU second and MEGATRON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 37.7% | 2.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 15.0% | 6.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | MEGATRON | 8.8% | 11.40 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 6.2% | 16.21 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 5.1% | 19.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 4.4% | 22.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.1% | 32.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPREME PATROL | 2.6% | 37.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD FIT | 2.4% | 41.10 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 2.1% | 48.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 1.0% | 103.40 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 0.7% | 148.68 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 27
PLACE
6 14
9 14
12 22.5
QUINELLA
6,9 51
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 25
6,12 51.5
9,12 41
TIERCE
9,6,12 340
TRIO
6,9,12 97
FIRST 4
6,9,11,12 1,300
QUARTET
9,6,12,11 11,974
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
8/6 270.5
8/9 902.5