沙田 · 2020-02-19
第 5場
2020-02-19沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、W Y So訓練的FOODIE PRINCESS勝出，贏出3-1/2。THIS ONE'S FOR YOU獲得亞軍；MEGATRON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FOODIE PRINCESS 後段發力 TT 1.38.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 2.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 後段發力 B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | MEGATRON B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | GOOD FIT 後段發力 PC/TT H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 78.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | MISTER MONTE 後段發力 B K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 3 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | BEST ALLIANCE 後段發力 XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 13 | 7.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DEFINING MOMENT 後段發力 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 14 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | CURLING LUXURY 早段領放 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPREME PATROL SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 42.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT 後段發力 P2/TT C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 12 | 34.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 193.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | JOYFUL CHEERS TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 8 | 36.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | MERIDIAN TALENT B/H M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 149.0 | 52 |
| — | 5 | TANG FLEMING B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 28.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 37.7% | 2.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 15.0% | 6.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | BEST ALLIANCE | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | MEGATRON | 8.8% | 11.40 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 6.2% | 16.21 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | MISTER MONTE | 5.1% | 19.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | DEFINING MOMENT | 4.4% | 22.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.1% | 32.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPREME PATROL | 2.6% | 37.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | GOOD FIT | 2.4% | 41.10 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 2.1% | 48.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 1.0% | 103.40 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 0.7% | 148.68 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 27
PLACE
6 14
9 14
12 22.5
QUINELLA
6,9 51
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 25
6,12 51.5
9,12 41
TIERCE
9,6,12 340
TRIO
6,9,12 97
FIRST 4
6,9,11,12 1,300
QUARTET
9,6,12,11 11,974
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
8/6 270.5
8/9 902.5