沙田 · 2020-02-19
第 1場
2020-02-19沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的STRIKING MR C勝出，贏出3-1/2。TRIUMPHANT LORD獲得亞軍；HAPPY HAPPY STAR獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門HAPPY HAPPY STAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STRIKING MR C B/TT 1.09.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT LORD TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY HAPPY STAR B J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 10 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CORRE RAPIDO B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 1 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | EXPONENTS V-/CP1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | PLEASANT GUY G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 3 | 5.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | WINNERS BROTHER B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 9 | 95.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | VICTORY SONG B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | NASHASHUK P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | TARGET FINDER H-/XB- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 56.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER FUN H N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 2 | 6.3 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE | 20.9% | 4.79 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY HAPPY STAR | 13.3% | 7.53 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | EXPONENTS | 11.8% | 8.47 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | PLEASANT GUY | 11.4% | 8.77 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | STRIKING MR C | 9.3% | 10.77 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | CORRE RAPIDO | 7.8% | 12.77 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | NASHASHUK | 7.1% | 14.00 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER FUN | 6.8% | 14.70 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT LORD | 6.7% | 15.00 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | TARGET FINDER | 2.2% | 46.14 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | VICTORY SONG | 1.4% | 72.04 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | WINNERS BROTHER | 1.4% | 72.94 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 50
PLACE
1 20
3 19.5
11 26
QUINELLA
1,11 262
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 56.5
1,11 97
3,11 75.5
TIERCE
1,11,3 2,992
TRIO
1,3,11 413
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 1,575
QUARTET
1,11,3,6 30,524
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24
A2 —