Sha Tin · 2020-04-01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP TT 1.10.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 11 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS B/H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | ABSOLUCOOL H-/P-/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GREAT SON B/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE WAY TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 2 | 124.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | EXPONENTS CP-/SR1/V2 G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JUNZI CP1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 1 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AURORA STEED B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 4.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GRAND HARBOUR H-/B2/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 10 | 9.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN H- K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CORRE RAPIDO B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 7 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-01 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. GENERAL TRUMP, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with FAIRY FLOSS second and FOX CHEUNGER third. The 4.6 favourite AURORA STEED finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AURORA STEED | 30.6% | 3.27 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP | 14.2% | 7.05 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT SON | 12.4% | 8.05 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER | 10.2% | 9.80 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | EXPONENTS | 8.8% | 11.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ABSOLUCOOL | 6.2% | 16.15 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CORRE RAPIDO | 5.6% | 17.96 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 4.0% | 24.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | GRAND HARBOUR | 3.0% | 33.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 2.4% | 42.31 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | JUNZI | 1.5% | 67.95 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WAY | 1.2% | 81.21 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 87.5
PLACE
3 27.5
9 49.5
10 21
QUINELLA
3,10 390
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 186
3,10 134
9,10 250.5
TIERCE
3,10,9 11,937
TRIO
3,9,10 1,967
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 3,161
QUARTET
3,10,9,1 91,919
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 20.5
A2 —