Sha Tin · 2020-04-01
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-01 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. MONGOLIAN KING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/4, with KINGS SHIELD second and BUDDIES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite BUDDIES finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B 1.37.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | KINGS SHIELD Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | BUDDIES TT- J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 3 | 2.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG H C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 13 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CIRCUIT GLORY H/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 51.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN Closed strongly B-/XB/P1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 11 | 127.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 8.3 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B-/H/PC1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 14 | 81.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | UNCLE STEVE CP-/XB/P1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 73.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 6 | RED DESERT H W Lai · J Size | H W Lai | J Size | 4 | 70.0 | 17 |
| 13 | 12 | RICKFIELD Closed strongly XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 49.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAR SLAM G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 2 | 15.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUDDIES | 26.2% | 3.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | BEAR SLAM | 19.6% | 5.09 | 14 |
| 3 | 4 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG | 7.2% | 13.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 6.9% | 14.45 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 5.0% | 19.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | UNCLE STEVE | 5.0% | 20.13 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | KINGS SHIELD | 4.1% | 24.42 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 3.4% | 29.41 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | RED DESERT | 3.1% | 32.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | ELITE PATCH | 2.8% | 35.84 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.6% | 38.00 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | RICKFIELD | 2.5% | 40.60 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 114
PLACE
3 11.5
5 24
14 30
QUINELLA
5,14 419.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 31.5
3,14 44
5,14 123
TIERCE
14,5,3 2,148
TRIO
3,5,14 223
FIRST 4
2,3,5,14 478
QUARTET
14,5,3,2 17,269
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/3,5,14 47,050
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 28
4/14 250
SIX UP
3,7/2,7/12,14/9,11/4,11/5,14 938
6 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
11/4/5 241
11/4/14 2,260