沙田 · 2020-04-01
第 8場
2020-04-01沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1650米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由K Teetan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MONGOLIAN KING勝出，贏出1-1/4。KINGS SHIELD獲得亞軍；BUDDIES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門BUDDIES跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING 後段發力 B 1.37.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | KINGS SHIELD 早段領放 CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | BUDDIES TT- J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 3 | 2.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | DANCES WITH DRAGON 後段發力 V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG H C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 13 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CIRCUIT GLORY H/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 51.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN 後段發力 B-/XB/P1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 11 | 127.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST 後段發力 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 8.3 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | ELITE PATCH 後段發力 B-/H/PC1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 14 | 81.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | UNCLE STEVE CP-/XB/P1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 73.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 6 | RED DESERT H W Lai · J Size | H W Lai | J Size | 4 | 70.0 | 17 |
| 13 | 12 | RICKFIELD 後段發力 XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 49.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAR SLAM G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 2 | 15.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUDDIES | 26.2% | 3.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | BEAR SLAM | 19.6% | 5.09 | 14 |
| 3 | 4 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG | 7.2% | 13.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 6.9% | 14.45 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | MONGOLIAN KING | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 5.0% | 19.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | UNCLE STEVE | 5.0% | 20.13 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | KINGS SHIELD | 4.1% | 24.42 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 3.4% | 29.41 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | RED DESERT | 3.1% | 32.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | ELITE PATCH | 2.8% | 35.84 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.6% | 38.00 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | RICKFIELD | 2.5% | 40.60 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 114
PLACE
3 11.5
5 24
14 30
QUINELLA
5,14 419.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 31.5
3,14 44
5,14 123
TIERCE
14,5,3 2,148
TRIO
3,5,14 223
FIRST 4
2,3,5,14 478
QUARTET
14,5,3,2 17,269
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/3,5,14 47,050
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 28
4/14 250
SIX UP
3,7/2,7/12,14/9,11/4,11/5,14 938
6 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
11/4/5 241
11/4/14 2,260