沙田 · 2020-04-01
第 6場
2020-04-01沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由C Schofield策騎、K L Man訓練的UTOPIA LIFE勝出，贏出3。JUST NOT LISTENING獲得亞軍；LITTLE BIRD獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門FLYING GENIUS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | UTOPIA LIFE B 1.08.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 8 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | JUST NOT LISTENING V J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 1 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | NAMJONG SINGS B G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 4 | 5.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING GENIUS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.2 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MEGA HEART XB/TT N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 12 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | THE WEATHERMAN P2 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 5 | 103.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WIND N GRASS TT1 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING JOY B-/SR-/TT- T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 6 | 373.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | PATCH BABY H/XB/B2/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 32.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | KING'S HORN B M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 225.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 33.5% | 2.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | FLYING GENIUS | 24.4% | 4.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | NAMJONG SINGS | 11.6% | 8.65 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | WIND N GRASS | 8.3% | 11.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | UTOPIA LIFE | 7.4% | 13.50 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | MEGA HEART | 3.6% | 28.04 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | LITTLE BIRD | 3.3% | 30.66 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | PATCH BABY | 1.4% | 70.75 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | THE WEATHERMAN | 1.1% | 90.02 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | KING'S HORN | 0.8% | 128.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | PACKING JOY | 0.4% | 235.26 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 52
PLACE
1 114.5
9 15
11 19
QUINELLA
9,11 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 295
1,11 445.5
9,11 37.5
TIERCE
11,9,1 11,749
TRIO
1,9,11 1,602
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 1,444
QUARTET
11,9,1,10 30,705
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,12,14/1,9,11 1,301,737
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 22.5
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/9 830
12/11 6,921
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,9/Any Combination/Any Combination 120