沙田 · 2020-04-01
第 2場
2020-04-01沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的THOU SHALL SING勝出，贏出N。HANDSOME REBEL獲得亞軍；GOLDEN MISSION獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門HANDSOME REBEL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THOU SHALL SING B 1.09.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | HANDSOME REBEL B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 1 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | KA FORTUNE V1/XB2 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 9.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 12 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GRACIOUS RYDER B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY WINNER H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 2 | 52.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | GOUTEN OF GARO B-/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 6 | 80.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SPLENDID TIMING B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 10 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SHIMMER AND SHINE CP N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 5.2 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | GOOD LUCK MONEY XB1 B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 11 | 17.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | NOBLE CONSORT B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 9 | 132.0 | 24-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION | 25.7% | 3.89 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | KA FORTUNE | 12.1% | 8.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | HANDSOME REBEL | 12.0% | 8.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | SHIMMER AND SHINE | 10.7% | 9.34 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | GRACIOUS RYDER | 10.1% | 9.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER | 8.8% | 11.30 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | THOU SHALL SING | 8.1% | 12.34 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 3.5% | 28.23 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | GOOD LUCK MONEY | 2.7% | 36.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | SPLENDID TIMING | 2.3% | 43.60 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | NOBLE CONSORT | 2.1% | 46.72 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY WINNER | 1.7% | 60.58 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 50
PLACE
1 16.5
8 16.5
10 24
QUINELLA
1,8 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 40
1,10 62.5
8,10 68
TIERCE
8,1,10 1,616
TRIO
1,8,10 276
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 827
QUARTET
8,1,10,6 19,969
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 84
3/8 1,725
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25.5