沙田 · 2020-04-01
第 4場
2020-04-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由K Teetan策騎、K L Man訓練的GOLDIE FLANKER勝出，贏出SH。EXCEL DELIGHT獲得亞軍；SUPREME PATROL獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門EXCEL DELIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDIE FLANKER 1.09.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | EXCEL DELIGHT H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 1.8 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | SUPREME PATROL B M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 7 | 65.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | VIVA COUNCIL V C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 1 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 5 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B2 H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 9 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 8.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SKY TREASURE H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.8 | 13-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BLADE RACER XB/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 10 | 25.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | AIOLOS B1/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 294.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LET'S GO PARTY XB/B1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 299.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | SOLAR VICTORY B- N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 3 | 45.0 | 24-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EXCEL DELIGHT | 36.3% | 2.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | VIVA COUNCIL | 11.4% | 8.76 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY | 10.1% | 9.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | STRATHCLYDE | 9.5% | 10.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY TREASURE | 7.0% | 14.30 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 6.7% | 14.94 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | BLADE RACER | 6.4% | 15.54 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 4.2% | 23.85 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPREME PATROL | 3.3% | 30.52 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | SOLAR VICTORY | 2.0% | 50.19 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | AIOLOS | 1.9% | 53.24 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | LET'S GO PARTY | 1.2% | 83.17 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 107
PLACE
2 25
7 12.5
9 117.5
QUINELLA
2,7 111
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 41.5
2,9 713
7,9 160.5
TIERCE
2,7,9 8,927
TRIO
2,7,9 1,531
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 1,154
QUARTET
2,7,9,4 40,087
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/2,7,9 42,038
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 28.5
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 564.5
7/7 28