Sha Tin · 2020-04-01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE Closed strongly H/P/XB J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 3 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HAY RUN Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Led early B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 14 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITYDREAM CP/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 41.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KEEP WINNING Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE P G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 1 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD FIT Closed strongly PC/TT H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 11 | 6.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR V1/TT- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 42.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BLINK OF A SECOND Closed strongly H-/B1/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 13 | 275.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SUN FOXHUNTER B/H1 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 8 | 125.0 | 40-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MASTER BERNINI V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-01 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. HIDDEN SPIRIT, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with KA YING BRILLIANCE second and HAY RUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite KA YING BRILLIANCE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 26.8% | 3.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 16.9% | 5.92 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 10.4% | 9.61 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 8.5% | 11.81 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE | 6.8% | 14.60 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 5.7% | 17.50 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | HAY RUN | 5.1% | 19.50 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 4.1% | 24.55 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 4.0% | 24.87 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARITYDREAM | 4.0% | 25.28 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 3.4% | 29.44 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD FIT | 2.1% | 46.84 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SUN FOXHUNTER | 1.3% | 79.38 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | BLINK OF A SECOND | 0.9% | 105.54 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 51
PLACE
3 15
6 32
7 23.5
QUINELLA
3,7 104
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 78.5
3,7 39.5
6,7 118
TIERCE
7,3,6 1,487
TRIO
3,6,7 260
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 680
QUARTET
7,3,6,9 16,022
2ND DOUBLE
8/3 44
8/7 563
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33.5