Happy Valley · 2020-04-22
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT 2.15.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly V-/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ABOVE B C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 4 | 2.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY Led early B C Wong · J Moore | C Wong | J Moore | 2 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNETISM B/TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 7 | 29.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 5 | 18.0 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 23.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GENEROUS CHARITY B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 30.0 | 32 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-22 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY SEBRING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with VINCY second and LONDON HALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite ABOVE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ABOVE | 38.8% | 2.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 17.3% | 5.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | VINCY | 9.8% | 10.19 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | STIMULATION | 7.6% | 13.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.15 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING | 5.3% | 18.83 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 4.9% | 20.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 4.6% | 21.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 3.6% | 27.90 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 2.4% | 42.35 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 100.5
PLACE
5 29
6 14
7 33.5
QUINELLA
5,7 564
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 67
5,7 141
6,7 73.5
TIERCE
5,7,6 4,438
TRIO
5,6,7 715
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 253
QUARTET
5,7,6,8 10,164
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 594.5
5/7 105
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 41
A2 —