Happy Valley · 2020-04-22
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HERO TIME 1.10.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 7 | 8.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 11 | 29.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY WINNER H H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 89.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GINTOKI B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 6 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEEDY LUCK XB N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN ENVY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 87.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 8 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STARLIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 3.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BLADE RACER XB/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HERO TIME, ridden by Z Purton and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with HAPPY TANGO second and HAPPY WINNER third. The 3.9 favourite OVERSUBSCRIBED finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 22.7% | 4.40 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | HERO TIME | 17.5% | 5.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEEDY LUCK | 15.8% | 6.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT | 8.6% | 11.57 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | STARLIGHT | 8.2% | 12.25 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | BLADE RACER | 5.6% | 17.70 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 5.2% | 19.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | GINTOKI | 4.9% | 20.50 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.8% | 20.89 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | GREEN ENVY | 3.3% | 29.87 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WINNER | 1.9% | 51.43 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 1.3% | 76.63 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 82
PLACE
5 25
8 94
12 164
QUINELLA
5,8 1,244.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 338
5,12 1,027
8,12 3,213
TIERCE
5,8,12 109,232
TRIO
5,8,12 18,040
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 29,809
QUARTET
5,8,12,7 843,894
1ST DOUBLE
8/5 650
8/8 519
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —