跑馬地 · 2020-04-22
第 2場
2020-04-22跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、R Gibson訓練的HERO TIME勝出，贏出SH。HAPPY TANGO獲得亞軍；HAPPY WINNER獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門OVERSUBSCRIBED跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HERO TIME 1.10.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 7 | 8.2 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 11 | 29.0 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | HAPPY WINNER H H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 89.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GINTOKI B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 6 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SPEEDY LUCK XB N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | GREEN ENVY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 87.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 8 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | STARLIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 3.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BLADE RACER XB/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 22.7% | 4.40 | 11 |
| 2 | 5 | HERO TIME | 17.5% | 5.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | SPEEDY LUCK | 15.8% | 6.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | MASTER ALBERT | 8.6% | 11.57 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | STARLIGHT | 8.2% | 12.25 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | BLADE RACER | 5.6% | 17.70 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 5.2% | 19.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | GINTOKI | 4.9% | 20.50 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.8% | 20.89 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | GREEN ENVY | 3.3% | 29.87 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY WINNER | 1.9% | 51.43 | 3 |
| 12 | 6 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 1.3% | 76.63 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 82
PLACE
5 25
8 94
12 164
QUINELLA
5,8 1,244.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 338
5,12 1,027
8,12 3,213
TIERCE
5,8,12 109,232
TRIO
5,8,12 18,040
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 29,809
QUARTET
5,8,12,7 843,894
1ST DOUBLE
8/5 650
8/8 519
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21.5