跑馬地 · 2020-04-22
第 1場
2020-04-22跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H N Wong策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的GREAT SON勝出，贏出SH。SHOW MISSION獲得亞軍；KWAI CHUNG ELITE獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門AURORA STEED跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREAT SON B-/V1/TT 1.10.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.2 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | SHOW MISSION B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 9.5 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B/H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 8 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | AURORA STEED B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 3 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 9 | 8.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | FIRE AND GOLD B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | SPICY REALLY B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE B/XB1/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 6 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | FORTUNE WAY B2/TT M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 7 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | E GENERATION B-/XB- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | U W BROTHER B- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 9.6 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 12 | 41.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 24.6% | 4.06 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | SPICY REALLY | 12.0% | 8.32 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | AURORA STEED | 11.2% | 8.89 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | FIRE AND GOLD | 9.9% | 10.09 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | SHOW MISSION | 8.1% | 12.35 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE | 6.4% | 15.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | GREAT SON | 6.3% | 15.96 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | U W BROTHER | 5.9% | 16.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER | 5.3% | 18.94 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 4.2% | 23.58 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE WAY | 3.5% | 28.20 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | E GENERATION | 2.4% | 41.14 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 62
PLACE
6 18.5
8 22
11 28.5
QUINELLA
8,11 281
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 69
6,11 74
8,11 110.5
TIERCE
8,11,6 2,634
TRIO
6,8,11 436
FIRST 4
2,6,8,11 335
QUARTET
8,11,6,2 9,074
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —