跑馬地 · 2020-04-22
第 5場
2020-04-22跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、J Moore訓練的WE THE SOUTH勝出，贏出HD。FARM BUMPER獲得亞軍；DAILY DELIGHT獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門WINNING WAYS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WE THE SOUTH B-/H1/XB1/TT- 0.57.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 5 | 29.0 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | FARM BUMPER C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 2 | 4.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | DAILY DELIGHT XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 10 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOKO B/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WINNING WAYS H/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | LOOK ERAS B-/CP1/TT- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | MEHBOOB XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 12 | 230.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | GOUTEN OF GARO B2/TT M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 79.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUT BEAUT H/V2 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 54.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FARM BUMPER | 26.8% | 3.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | WINNING WAYS | 25.7% | 3.89 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | MEHBOOB | 18.5% | 5.41 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | GOKO | 7.3% | 13.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | LOOK ERAS | 6.9% | 14.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | DAILY DELIGHT | 3.9% | 25.34 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER | 3.2% | 31.44 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 2.1% | 48.61 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO | 1.7% | 57.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 1.7% | 59.71 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAUT BEAUT | 1.4% | 70.58 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | WE THE SOUTH | 0.9% | 113.64 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 297.5
PLACE
7 36.5
8 58
9 15
QUINELLA
8,9 616
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 447.5
7,9 82
8,9 168.5
TIERCE
8,9,7 16,594
TRIO
7,8,9 1,752
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 4,708
QUARTET
8,9,7,3 152,094
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/7,8,9 1,425,985
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 36
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/8 2,832.5
9/9 28