跑馬地 · 2020-04-22
第 7場
2020-04-22跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C Schofield策騎、J Size訓練的DESTINE JEWELLERY勝出，贏出1-1/2。REGENCY POET獲得亞軍；LUCKY QUALITY獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門HAPPY GOOD GUYS跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V 1.11.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | REGENCY POET B/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY B Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | WINNING CONTROLLER B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 12 | 82.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS XB-/B/TT- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE CP-/B2 K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 4 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS V C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING GODSPELL SR M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIME TIME H/B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 164.0 | 13 |
| — | 12 | SUPER EIGHTEEN C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 25.3% | 3.96 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY | 19.1% | 5.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 9.1% | 10.97 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING GODSPELL | 7.4% | 13.42 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | REGENCY POET | 6.0% | 16.79 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 5.3% | 19.04 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | BULLISH BROTHER | 4.5% | 22.25 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | WINNING CONTROLLER | 1.6% | 63.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIME TIME | 0.9% | 117.07 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 48.5
PLACE
4 15
8 43.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
8,10 334.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 92
4,10 47.5
8,10 103
TIERCE
10,8,4 2,573
TRIO
4,8,10 477
FIRST 4
4,8,10,11 5,936
QUARTET
10,8,4,11 91,870
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,6/4,8,10 15,689
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/8 136
2/10 180
TRIPLE TRIO
7,8,9/2,5,6/4,8,10 3,514,676
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,8,9/2,5,6/Any Combination 18,864