跑馬地 · 2020-04-22
第 9場
2020-04-22跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Hamelin策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALLIED AGILITY勝出，贏出SH。LARSON獲得亞軍；EXPLOSIVE WITNESS獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門LARSON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT 0.57.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.6 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | LARSON CP Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 10 | 2.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 3.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SPECIAL STARS C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 4 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 9 | 277.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | BALTIC WHISPER TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | AQUILA C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | KING'S EMINENCE TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 45.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | WON BALL C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 12 | 138.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LARSON | 19.6% | 5.10 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 19.3% | 5.17 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | AQUILA | 12.4% | 8.07 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | ALLIED AGILITY | 10.8% | 9.25 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 6.5% | 15.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | BALTIC WHISPER | 6.1% | 16.37 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | SPECIAL STARS | 5.9% | 16.82 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | KING'S EMINENCE | 5.4% | 18.56 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 5.2% | 19.31 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | CUE THE MUSIC | 5.0% | 20.16 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | WON BALL | 2.8% | 35.43 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | JUMBO ENGINE | 1.0% | 102.67 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 96.5
PLACE
3 24.5
4 14
8 26.5
QUINELLA
3,4 126
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 49.5
3,8 142
4,8 58
TIERCE
3,4,8 1,966
TRIO
3,4,8 327
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 321
QUARTET
3,4,8,7 8,799
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 34.5
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/3,4,8 3,961
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 605
3/4 35.5
SIX UP
1,9/8,9/2,6/8,10/2,3/3,4 7,805
9/8/2/10/3/3 16,214,362
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
10/3/3 3,827
10/3/4 287