Happy Valley · 2020-04-22
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V 1.11.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY POET B/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY B Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING CONTROLLER B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 12 | 82.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS XB-/B/TT- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE CP-/B2 K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 4 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS V C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B/BR A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING GODSPELL SR M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME TIME H/B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 164.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | SUPER EIGHTEEN C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. DESTINE JEWELLERY, ridden by C Schofield and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with REGENCY POET second and LUCKY QUALITY third. The 2.7 favourite HAPPY GOOD GUYS finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 25.3% | 3.96 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 19.1% | 5.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 9.1% | 10.97 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING GODSPELL | 7.4% | 13.42 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | REGENCY POET | 6.0% | 16.79 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 5.3% | 19.04 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BULLISH BROTHER | 4.5% | 22.25 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING CONTROLLER | 1.6% | 63.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME TIME | 0.9% | 117.07 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 48.5
PLACE
4 15
8 43.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
8,10 334.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 92
4,10 47.5
8,10 103
TIERCE
10,8,4 2,573
TRIO
4,8,10 477
FIRST 4
4,8,10,11 5,936
QUARTET
10,8,4,11 91,870
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,6/4,8,10 15,689
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5
6TH DOUBLE
2/8 136
2/10 180
TRIPLE TRIO
7,8,9/2,5,6/4,8,10 3,514,676
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,8,9/2,5,6/Any Combination 18,864